Below is a sneak peek of this content!
This article references parts of the story in my fiction books, The Meadow Protocol and book 2, After The Brush, part of The Continuity Chronicles series. Available in my store for signed paperback and hard copies for from Amazon to include Kindle and Audible. Welcome to our comprehensive guide on Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH), one of the most powerful structured analytic techniques used in intelligence analysis. Developed by Richards J. Heuer, Jr., a longtime CIA analyst, ACH helps overcome common cognitive biases that plague even experienced professionals—such as confirmation bias, where people favor information supporting their initial beliefs while ignoring contradictory evidence. ACH is widely taught in intelligence communities (CIA, FBI, military intelligence), competitive intelligence, cybersecurity threat analysis, law enforcement investigations, and even business decision-making. It forces rigorous, evidence-based evaluation of multiple explanations rather than jumping to conclusions. In this page, we'll cover: What ACH is and why it matters The core principles behind it Step-by-step how-to guide Practical examples Tips for implementation in real-world scenarios What is Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH)? ACH is a systematic methodology for evaluating multiple plausible explanations (hypotheses) for a set of observed data or events. Instead of seeking evidence to confirm...