Daily Threat Report – 26 May 2026
Good morning. This is a 72-hour rollup covering the Memorial Day weekend. Three developments lead the cycle:
US STRIKES IRAN NEAR HORMUZ
US forces struck Iranian missile sites and mine-laying boats near the Strait of Hormuz on 25-MAY, concurrent with an advancing negotiating framework. Iran is threatening to respond.
GARDEN GROVE THREAT EASED
The catastrophic-explosion threat at the Garden Grove chemical tank is off the table; the evacuation zone was cut from 50,000 to 16,000 residents.
EBOLA CASE COUNT DOUBLES
The DRC and Uganda outbreak roughly doubled in a week to about 1,010 cases, with a confirmed cluster now in Uganda’s capital. No US case; CDC assesses US risk as low.
Severe storms and critical fire weather in West Texas today, plus an active solar radiation storm.
The full report – with sourcing, the 72-hour outlook, likelihood and confidence on every judgment, and alternative-hypothesis analysis – is here:
https://fortunefavorstheprepared.com/dtr/
Semper Paratus, Semper Gumby.
Fortune Favors the Prepared
Intelligence Operations Division