US-IRAN — MOU ACUTE STRESS
US and Iran exchanged kinetic strikes across four days (26-29 June). The IRGC struck the Singapore-flagged Ever Lovely cargo ship, the Kiku tanker carrying 2 million barrels of Qatari crude, US 5th Fleet headquarters in Bahrain, and Kuwait military bases. US CENTCOM struck Iranian coastal radar installations, missile sites, and drone storage. An informal stand-down was reached Sunday 29 June. Doha talks are scheduled for Tuesday, 1 July. The MOU is under its most severe stress since signing on 17 June.
VENEZUELA EARTHQUAKE — DAY 5
1,450 confirmed dead, 3,150+ injured, 46,000+ missing. The 72-hour survival window has closed and search-and-rescue is formally transitioning to recovery operations. USS Fort Lauderdale is delivering humanitarian supplies at La Guaira. USGS estimates a 44% probability the final death toll exceeds 10,000. If you have family or colleagues in Venezuela, phone and internet connectivity remains severely disrupted.
COTTONWOOD FIRE (BEAVER COUNTY, UT)
~94,000 acres. 0% contained. Nation’s largest active wildfire. Utah issued its first-ever PDS Red Flag Warning. State of emergency declared. Level 3 Go evacuations remain in effect for HiLo Estates, Merchant Valley, Eagle Point Resort, and Arrowhead Summer Homes. No containment expected before July 1. Day 2 critical fire weather forecast for the Four Corners region tomorrow.
CYBER — THREE FEDERAL DEADLINES PASSED
Three CISA KEV deadlines expired this weekend with no workarounds available for any of them: Cisco SD-WAN CVE-2026-20262 (29 June), Cisco Unified CM CVE-2026-20230 (28 June), PTC Windchill/FlexPLM CVE-2026-12569 (28 June). Ubiquiti UniFi 3-CVE cluster is now six days overdue. Federal agencies are in active violation of BOD 26-04. If you manage enterprise networks, conduct a compromise assessment before patching.
EBOLA PHEIC — DAY 45
1,175 total confirmed cases. 306 deaths. CFR 26%. No approved vaccine or treatment for the Bundibugyo strain. France EU import is Day 5 — contacts under surveillance. WHO sitrep expected today. South Sudan: 69% probability of a case within 12 weeks.
Full Daily Threat Report: fortunefavorstheprepared.com/dtr/
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TRAINING CURRICULUM — NOW LIVE
The Fortune Favors the Prepared training curriculum launched this week. These are practitioner-grade skills you won’t find taught anywhere else — intelligence analysis, medical assessment, OPSEC, logistics, security — built for the prepared civilian.
Several courses are free. Full access to everything is $11.95/month for a few more days, then the price goes to $24.95. Subscribe before the deadline and you lock in $11.95.
What’s live now: INT-01 ACH (free) | INT-02 Radio Traffic SA | INT-03 SALUTE/SPOT | INT-04 Elicitation Tradecraft | INT-08 Pattern of Life (free) | MED-01 MARCH-PAWS (free) | MED-02 Medical History | MED-03 DCAP-BTLS | PLN-01 Community SA (free) | SEC-02 OPSEC (free)
Releasing this week: COM-01 PACE | LOG-01 MAG Logistics | SEC-01 Member Vetting | SEC-03 Surveillance Detection | MED-06 Patient Care Docs
fortunefavorstheprepared.com/curriculum/
Semper Paratus, Semper Gumby.
— Fortune Favors the Prepared