17 JUNE 2026 | PREP-CON 4 ORANGE SKY
Three items in today’s report that can’t wait:
— SEVERE WEATHER ACTIVE: SPC Day 1 MODERATE RISK in Illinois and Indiana. Intense tornadoes, 75+ mph gusts, damaging hail. All three Illinois NWR transmitters (Hillsboro, Princeton, Lockport) are simultaneously out of service. WEA phone alerts are the only primary warning system for millions of residents in the outbreak zone. Confirm WEA is enabled now.
— ARTHUR FLOODING ONGOING: Tropical Storm Arthur made landfall SW Louisiana overnight. 2+ confirmed dead in Texas. 26 million under flood watches from South Texas to Mississippi. Life-threatening inland flooding through Friday. Isolated tornadoes possible Gulf Coast and Southeast today.
— IRAN MOU — SIGNING TOMORROW, BURGENSTOCK: The US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding is scheduled to be formally signed Thursday at Burgenstock, Switzerland. Brent crude is below $79 — down ~40% from the conflict peak — and three Iranian supertankers are already transiting with 3.8M barrels. The risk: Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s approval has not been publicly confirmed, and Iran’s FM Araghchi is now demanding Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon as a precondition. The deal is not final until it is signed.
Full analysis, section-by-section threat breakdown, NWR gap map, and decision triggers in today’s DTR.
→ fortunefavorstheprepared.com/dtr/
Semper Paratus, Semper Gumby.
Fortune Favors the Prepared | Intelligence Operations Division
PS be on the lookout for an announcement on some new training courses for MAG groups:
Logistics management – how to account for all the supplies/equipment a MAG has, this includes techniques to manage supplies that do not need a computer. Downloadable T-cards and 4.25×5.5 cards for management. The 4.25×5.5 cards will be available for order in the store in the next day or so.
Vetting for MAG membership – how to vet someone
Right now putting the finishing touches to downloadable study guides that work with the online material as well as a complete study workbook (loose leaf and bound from Amazon) that can be used offline i.e., no internet. Both with come with instructor guides.
A MARCH assessment course is already complete.
Once these courses are completed there will probably be a higher tier Patreon needed to access them but those who are subscribers at the time will be grandfathered.
See training that is available and being developed at https://fortunefavorstheprepared.com/curriculum/
Also check out the new series on how the intelligence services came to be at: https://fortunefavorstheprepared.com/the-architecture-of-intelligence/
Semper Paratus, Semper Gumby